While he believes technology can manage pollution, he notes that the "crisis of confidence" in modern institutions is often more dangerous than the physical problems themselves.
Kahn's specific (like fusion or space colonies). How his scenarios have held up since 1976. The next 200 years: a scenario for America and ...
Kahn envisions a world of 15 billion people who are "numerous, rich, and in control of the forces of nature," with a per capita gross world product of approximately $20,000 (in 1976 dollars). While he believes technology can manage pollution, he
In their 1976 work, , Herman Kahn and his colleagues at the Hudson Institute present a bold, optimistic vision of human progress that stands in direct opposition to the "limits to growth" pessimism of the era. The book argues that humanity is in the midst of a "Great Transition" from a state of poverty and vulnerability to nature toward a future of universal affluence and mastery over the physical world. The Core Thesis: The Great Transition Kahn envisions a world of 15 billion people
Kahn categorizes worldviews into a spectrum to explain why some are so pessimistic while others remain hopeful:
Humans were few, poor, and at the mercy of natural forces.